Utenis Utena vs Sirijus Klaipeda

10 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.7 pp

Utenis Utena

Sirijus Klaipeda

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.7% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 57.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.8% 3.87 DRAW 23.0% 4.00 AWAY 53.2% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sirijus Klaipeda clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.9% win probability, compared with 53.2% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sirijus Klaipeda has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Utenis Utena Sirijus Klaipeda

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 18.0 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Sirijus Klaipeda, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Utenis Utena Sirijus Klaipeda

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Sirijus Klaipeda has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Utenis Utena Sirijus Klaipeda

The combined recent performance profile favours Sirijus Klaipeda.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Utenis Utena ↑ +0.37 (+10.4%)

Sirijus Klaipeda ↑ +0.00 (+0.2%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.