Nevezis vs FM Klaipedos

11 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.5 pp

Nevezis

FM Klaipedos

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.8% DRAW 17.2% AWAY 10.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.4% 1.36 DRAW 19.3% 4.75 AWAY 13.3% 6.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Nevezis clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 71.8% win probability, compared with 67.4% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Nevezis has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nevezis FM Klaipedos

Shots 16.0 · On target 7.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Nevezis, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nevezis FM Klaipedos

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Nevezis has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nevezis FM Klaipedos

The combined recent performance profile favours Nevezis.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nevezis ↑ +0.01 (+1.0%)

FM Klaipedos ↓ -0.09 (-1.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.