Sokol Kleczew vs Gornik Leczna

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.3 pp

Sokol Kleczew

Gornik Leczna

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.0% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 35.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.7% 2.75 DRAW 25.9% 3.69 AWAY 39.4% 2.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sokol Kleczew clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.0% win probability, compared with 34.7% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sokol Kleczew

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sokol Kleczew Gornik Leczna

Shots 20.5 · On target 8.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Sokol Kleczew, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sokol Kleczew Gornik Leczna

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Gornik Leczna has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sokol Kleczew Gornik Leczna

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Sokol Kleczew ↓ -0.35 (-11.3%)

Gornik Leczna ↑ +0.47 (+24.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.