Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz

04 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Stal Stalowa Wola

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 29.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.1% 2.00 DRAW 25.3% 3.73 AWAY 27.6% 3.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Stal Stalowa Wola Zawisza Bydgoszcz

Shots 14.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 15.8 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours Zawisza Bydgoszcz, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Stal Stalowa Wola Zawisza Bydgoszcz

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Stal Stalowa Wola Zawisza Bydgoszcz

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Stal Stalowa Wola ↓ -0.20 (-9.1%)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz ↑ +0.37 (+12.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.