Resovia Rzeszow vs Lechia Zielona Góra

11 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Resovia Rzeszow

Lechia Zielona Góra

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 25.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.6% 2.05 DRAW 26.5% 3.60 AWAY 26.9% 3.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Resovia Rzeszow

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Resovia Rzeszow Lechia Zielona Góra

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Resovia Rzeszow Lechia Zielona Góra

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Resovia Rzeszow Lechia Zielona Góra

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Resovia Rzeszow ↓ -0.22 (-9.7%)

Lechia Zielona Góra ↑ +0.71 (+25.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.