Gornik Leczna vs Legia Warsaw II

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.6 pp

Gornik Leczna

Legia Warsaw II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.2% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 21.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.6% 1.87 DRAW 24.9% 3.73 AWAY 25.5% 3.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Gornik Leczna clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.2% win probability, compared with 49.6% implied by the market. The 5.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Gornik Leczna has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gornik Leczna Legia Warsaw II

Shots 15.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Gornik Leczna, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gornik Leczna Legia Warsaw II

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 7.8

Gornik Leczna has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gornik Leczna Legia Warsaw II

The combined recent performance profile favours Gornik Leczna.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Gornik Leczna ↓ -0.15 (-7.5%)

Legia Warsaw II ↑ +0.58 (+18.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.