Sokol Kleczew vs Avia Swidnik

18 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Sokol Kleczew

Avia Swidnik

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.4% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 37.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.0% 2.80 DRAW 25.9% 3.68 AWAY 40.2% 2.37

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sokol Kleczew relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.4% win probability, compared with 34.0% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sokol Kleczew

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sokol Kleczew Avia Swidnik

Shots 18.0 · On target 6.3 Shots 9.3 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Sokol Kleczew, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sokol Kleczew Avia Swidnik

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Avia Swidnik has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sokol Kleczew Avia Swidnik

The combined recent performance profile favours Sokol Kleczew.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Sokol Kleczew ↑ +0.35 (+14.3%)

Avia Swidnik ↓ -0.13 (-5.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.