Skellefteå FF vs IFK Östersund

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.5 pp

Skellefteå FF

IFK Östersund

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.1% DRAW 22.9% AWAY 21.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.6% 1.80 DRAW 24.3% 3.82 AWAY 24.0% 3.87

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Skellefteå FF clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.1% win probability, compared with 51.6% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Skellefteå FF has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Skellefteå FF IFK Östersund

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Skellefteå FF, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Skellefteå FF IFK Östersund

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Skellefteå FF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Skellefteå FF IFK Östersund

The combined recent performance profile favours Skellefteå FF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Skellefteå FF ↑ +0.08 (+4.7%)

IFK Östersund ↓ -0.02 (-0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.