IFK Umeå vs Friska Viljor FC

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.7 pp

IFK Umeå

Friska Viljor FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 10.6% DRAW 14.6% AWAY 74.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 11.8% 7.85 DRAW 16.2% 5.75 AWAY 72.0% 1.29

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Friska Viljor FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 74.7% win probability, compared with 72.0% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: IFK Umeå

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

IFK Umeå Friska Viljor FC

Shots 7.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 2.0 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours IFK Umeå, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

IFK Umeå Friska Viljor FC

Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 8.3 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.5

Friska Viljor FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

IFK Umeå Friska Viljor FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

IFK Umeå = (0.0%)

Friska Viljor FC ↑ +0.04 (+3.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.