Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Breidablik (W)

07 Sep 2026 · 21:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Throttur Reykjavik (W)

Breidablik (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.0% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 51.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.7% 3.95 DRAW 22.2% 4.40 AWAY 53.1% 1.84

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Throttur Reykjavik (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Throttur Reykjavik (W) Breidablik (W)

Shots 14.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 13.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Throttur Reykjavik (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Throttur Reykjavik (W) Breidablik (W)

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Throttur Reykjavik (W) Breidablik (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Throttur Reykjavik (W) ↓ -0.59 (-12.8%)

Breidablik (W) ↑ +0.28 (+17.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.