FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti

14 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

FCSB

Petrolul Ploiesti

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.4% DRAW 18.5% AWAY 12.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.3% 1.42 DRAW 19.7% 4.85 AWAY 13.0% 7.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FCSB has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FCSB Petrolul Ploiesti

Shots 13.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours FCSB, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FCSB Petrolul Ploiesti

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FCSB Petrolul Ploiesti

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FCSB ↓ -0.08 (-5.3%)

Petrolul Ploiesti ↑ +1.13 (+18.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.