FC Liefering vs St Polten

13 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

FC Liefering

St Polten

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.3% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 46.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.5% 3.25 DRAW 24.2% 3.96 AWAY 46.3% 2.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: St Polten

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Liefering St Polten

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Liefering St Polten

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Liefering St Polten

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Liefering ↑ +0.53 (+19.3%)

St Polten ↓ -0.28 (-11.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.