Genoa U20 vs Atalanta U20

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Genoa U20

Atalanta U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.1% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 38.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.8% 2.35 DRAW 24.4% 3.65 AWAY 37.8% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Atalanta U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Genoa U20 Atalanta U20

Shots 5.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Genoa U20 Atalanta U20

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Atalanta U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Genoa U20 Atalanta U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Atalanta U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Genoa U20 = (0.0%)

Atalanta U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.