Parma U20 vs Genoa U20

11 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Parma U20

Genoa U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 25.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.4% 1.82 DRAW 26.0% 3.60 AWAY 22.7% 4.13

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Genoa U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Parma U20 Genoa U20

Shots 4.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Parma U20 Genoa U20

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Genoa U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Parma U20 Genoa U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Genoa U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Parma U20 = (0.0%)

Genoa U20 ↑ +0.05 (+1.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.