Lecce U20 vs Roma U20

04 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Lecce U20

Roma U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.8% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 38.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.5% 2.70 DRAW 25.8% 3.61 AWAY 39.7% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Roma U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lecce U20 Roma U20

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Roma U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lecce U20 Roma U20

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Lecce U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lecce U20 Roma U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Lecce U20 ↓ -0.18 (-6.1%)

Roma U20 = (0.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.