Genoa U20 vs Fiorentina U20

05 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Genoa U20

Fiorentina U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.8% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 45.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% 2.92 DRAW 24.5% 3.68 AWAY 44.6% 2.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Genoa U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Genoa U20 Fiorentina U20

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 3.3 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Genoa U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Genoa U20 Fiorentina U20

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 0.8

Fiorentina U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Genoa U20 Fiorentina U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Genoa U20 = (0.0%)

Fiorentina U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.