Spartak Pleven vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik

07 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.7 pp

Spartak Pleven

FC Hebar Pazardzhik

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.7% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 40.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.1% 2.60 DRAW 28.1% 3.25 AWAY 36.8% 2.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Hebar Pazardzhik relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 40.5% win probability, compared with 36.8% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Hebar Pazardzhik has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Spartak Pleven FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Hebar Pazardzhik, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Spartak Pleven FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.0

FC Hebar Pazardzhik has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Spartak Pleven FC Hebar Pazardzhik

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Hebar Pazardzhik.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Spartak Pleven = (0.0%)

FC Hebar Pazardzhik ↓ -0.07 (-2.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.