PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich vs CSKA Sofia II

21 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.6 pp

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

CSKA Sofia II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.6% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 48.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.4% 3.30 DRAW 25.8% 3.64 AWAY 45.8% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CSKA Sofia II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.4% win probability, compared with 45.8% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CSKA Sofia II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich CSKA Sofia II

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours CSKA Sofia II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich CSKA Sofia II

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.5

CSKA Sofia II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich CSKA Sofia II

The combined recent performance profile favours CSKA Sofia II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich ↓ -0.50 (-13.2%)

CSKA Sofia II ↑ +0.22 (+11.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.