Montana vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik

21 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.5 pp

Montana

FC Hebar Pazardzhik

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.3% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 39.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% 2.23 DRAW 23.3% 4.01 AWAY 34.7% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FC Hebar Pazardzhik clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.2% win probability, compared with 34.7% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Hebar Pazardzhik has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Montana FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 15.0 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Hebar Pazardzhik, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Montana FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.8

FC Hebar Pazardzhik has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Montana FC Hebar Pazardzhik

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Hebar Pazardzhik.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Montana ↑ +0.46 (+26.0%)

FC Hebar Pazardzhik ↓ -1.03 (-27.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.