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Bulgaria Second League · BG

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Montana

09 Nov 2026 · 16:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.57 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.67. At this price, a home win for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
STOCHASTICBET 59.9%
PINNACLE 56.7% odd 1.57
DIFFERENCE +3.2 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 22.7%
PINNACLE 23.6% odd 3.79
DIFFERENCE -0.8 pp
AWAY
Montana
STOCHASTICBET 17.4%
PINNACLE 19.7% odd 4.53
DIFFERENCE -2.4 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 09 Nov 2026 · 12:51
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Montana
Shots 12.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Montana
Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Montana

The combined recent performance profile favours Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-09 13:33:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +4.20 pp +2.56 pp
DRAW -1.37 pp -0.56 pp
AWAY -2.83 pp -2.00 pp

Market Agreement: HOME UP · AWAY DOWN

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +6.58 pp
DRAW — -1.60 pp
AWAY — -4.98 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.