LNZ Lebedyn vs Obolon Kyiv

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

LNZ Lebedyn

Obolon Kyiv

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.0% DRAW 21.0% AWAY 9.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.6% 1.39 DRAW 21.6% 4.41 AWAY 9.7% 9.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Obolon Kyiv

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

LNZ Lebedyn Obolon Kyiv

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 6.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Obolon Kyiv, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

LNZ Lebedyn Obolon Kyiv

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.5

LNZ Lebedyn has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

LNZ Lebedyn Obolon Kyiv

The combined recent performance profile favours LNZ Lebedyn.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

LNZ Lebedyn ↓ -0.04 (-2.8%)

Obolon Kyiv ↑ +0.50 (+5.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.