Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

18 Sep 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

Polissya Zhytomyr

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 75.9% DRAW 15.4% AWAY 8.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 72.0% 1.33 DRAW 17.4% 5.50 AWAY 10.5% 9.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Polissya Zhytomyr relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 75.9% win probability, compared with 72.0% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Polissya Zhytomyr has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Polissya Zhytomyr FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

Shots 15.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 6.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Polissya Zhytomyr, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Polissya Zhytomyr FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Polissya Zhytomyr has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Polissya Zhytomyr FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

The combined recent performance profile favours Polissya Zhytomyr.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Polissya Zhytomyr ↓ -0.02 (-1.5%)

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih ↑ +1.25 (+15.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.