Chernomorets Odessa vs FC Livyi Bereh

04 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Chernomorets Odessa

FC Livyi Bereh

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.4% DRAW 32.4% AWAY 41.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.8% 3.34 DRAW 32.0% 3.00 AWAY 39.2% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC Livyi Bereh has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chernomorets Odessa FC Livyi Bereh

Shots 4.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Livyi Bereh, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chernomorets Odessa FC Livyi Bereh

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 1.0

FC Livyi Bereh has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chernomorets Odessa FC Livyi Bereh

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Livyi Bereh.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chernomorets Odessa ↑ +0.46 (+16.0%)

FC Livyi Bereh ↓ -0.12 (-4.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.