Celta Fortuna vs Eibar

14 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Celta Fortuna

Eibar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.5% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 42.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.3% 3.54 DRAW 29.5% 3.28 AWAY 43.2% 2.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Celta Fortuna

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Celta Fortuna Eibar

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Celta Fortuna Eibar

Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Eibar has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Celta Fortuna Eibar

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Celta Fortuna ↓ -0.16 (-4.3%)

Eibar ↓ -0.06 (-2.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.