Girona vs Albacete

25 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Girona

Albacete

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.0% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 15.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.8% 1.60 DRAW 23.0% 4.21 AWAY 16.2% 6.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Girona

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Girona Albacete

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Girona, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Girona Albacete

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Girona Albacete

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Girona ↑ +0.02 (+1.5%)

Albacete ↑ +0.58 (+10.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.