Mallorca vs Sabadell

13 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Mallorca

Sabadell

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.7% DRAW 28.9% AWAY 21.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.0% 1.92 DRAW 28.4% 3.44 AWAY 20.6% 4.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sabadell

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mallorca Sabadell

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 16.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mallorca Sabadell

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mallorca Sabadell

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Mallorca ↑ +0.16 (+9.0%)

Sabadell ↓ -0.50 (-9.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.