Eldense vs Mallorca

05 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Eldense

Mallorca

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.3% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 46.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.8% 3.75 DRAW 27.0% 3.58 AWAY 47.2% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Mallorca

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Eldense Mallorca

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Eldense Mallorca

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Mallorca has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Eldense Mallorca

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Eldense ↑ +0.17 (+4.8%)

Mallorca ↓ -0.15 (-6.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.