Spain La Liga · ES

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano

31 Aug 2026 · 21:30

MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Home Lean

Home 86.8%

Draw 8.8%

Away 4.4%

Consensus based on 4 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 78.0 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Barcelona Rayo Vallecano

Shots 19.8 · On target 9.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Barcelona, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Barcelona Rayo Vallecano

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Barcelona has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Barcelona Rayo Vallecano

The combined recent performance profile favours Barcelona.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Barcelona ↓ -0.13 (-10.4%)

Rayo Vallecano ↑ +12.80 (+93.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -2.603

Shot rating 82

Shots-on-target rating 36

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.