Antigua GFC vs CSD Municipal

21 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Antigua GFC

CSD Municipal

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.0% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 27.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% 1.95 DRAW 28.3% 3.15 AWAY 25.9% 3.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CSD Municipal

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Antigua GFC CSD Municipal

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 15.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Antigua GFC CSD Municipal

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.0

CSD Municipal has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Antigua GFC CSD Municipal

The combined recent performance profile favours CSD Municipal.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Antigua GFC = (0.0%)

CSD Municipal = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.