CSD Comunicaciones vs Guastatoya

19 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

CSD Comunicaciones

Guastatoya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.0% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 12.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.3% 1.60 DRAW 27.5% 3.45 AWAY 13.2% 7.19

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CSD Comunicaciones

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CSD Comunicaciones Guastatoya

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CSD Comunicaciones Guastatoya

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.8

CSD Comunicaciones has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CSD Comunicaciones Guastatoya

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CSD Comunicaciones ↓ -0.10 (-5.9%)

Guastatoya ↑ +2.36 (+48.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.