Antigua GFC vs Suchitepequez

15 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Antigua GFC

Suchitepequez

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.0% DRAW 20.4% AWAY 11.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.8% 1.38 DRAW 20.8% 4.50 AWAY 11.5% 8.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Antigua GFC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Antigua GFC Suchitepequez

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Antigua GFC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Antigua GFC Suchitepequez

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Suchitepequez has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Antigua GFC Suchitepequez

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Antigua GFC ↑ +0.08 (+6.2%)

Suchitepequez ↓ -0.85 (-9.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.