Deportivo Mixco vs Aurora

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Deportivo Mixco

Aurora

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.2% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 17.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.1% 1.50 DRAW 22.3% 4.25 AWAY 14.7% 6.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Aurora

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Mixco Aurora

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Mixco Aurora

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Aurora has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Mixco Aurora

The combined recent performance profile favours Aurora.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Deportivo Mixco ↓ -0.12 (-7.4%)

Aurora ↑ +0.95 (+17.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.