Guastatoya vs Xelaju

14 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.6 pp

Guastatoya

Xelaju

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.7% DRAW 35.3% AWAY 31.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.8% 2.32 DRAW 33.8% 2.80 AWAY 25.5% 3.71

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Xelaju clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.0% win probability, compared with 25.5% implied by the market. The 5.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Xelaju has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Guastatoya Xelaju

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 16.5 · On target 9.0

Recent attacking output favours Xelaju, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Guastatoya Xelaju

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Xelaju has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Guastatoya Xelaju

The combined recent performance profile favours Xelaju.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

No movement data

Guastatoya —

Xelaju —

No stored odds movement is available for this match.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.