Slavia TU Kosice vs Spartak Medzev

25 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Slavia TU Kosice

Spartak Medzev

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 28.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% 2.05 DRAW 23.7% 3.90 AWAY 31.3% 2.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Slavia TU Kosice relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.6% win probability, compared with 45.0% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Slavia TU Kosice

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Slavia TU Kosice Spartak Medzev

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 5.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Slavia TU Kosice, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Slavia TU Kosice Spartak Medzev

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Spartak Medzev has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Slavia TU Kosice Spartak Medzev

The combined recent performance profile favours Slavia TU Kosice.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Slavia TU Kosice ↓ -0.45 (-18.0%)

Spartak Medzev ↑ +0.62 (+27.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.