ASA Aarhus vs Næsby

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

ASA Aarhus

Næsby

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.7% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 51.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.6% 3.62 DRAW 24.3% 3.81 AWAY 50.1% 1.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Næsby has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

ASA Aarhus Næsby

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Næsby, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ASA Aarhus Næsby

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Næsby has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ASA Aarhus Næsby

The combined recent performance profile favours Næsby.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

ASA Aarhus ↑ +0.90 (+32.9%)

Næsby ↓ -0.31 (-14.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.