Aritma Praha vs FK Admira Praha

26 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

Aritma Praha

FK Admira Praha

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.2% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 49.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.8% 3.27 DRAW 25.4% 3.70 AWAY 45.8% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FK Admira Praha relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.4% win probability, compared with 45.8% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Admira Praha has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Aritma Praha FK Admira Praha

Shots 7.8 · On target 1.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours FK Admira Praha, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Aritma Praha FK Admira Praha

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 8.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3

FK Admira Praha has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Aritma Praha FK Admira Praha

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Admira Praha.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Aritma Praha ↑ +0.04 (+1.1%)

FK Admira Praha ↑ +0.04 (+2.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.