Povltavska FA vs Motorlet Praha

26 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Povltavska FA

Motorlet Praha

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.3% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 58.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.9% 4.35 DRAW 22.0% 4.33 AWAY 56.1% 1.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Motorlet Praha relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.9% win probability, compared with 56.1% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Motorlet Praha has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Povltavska FA Motorlet Praha

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 13.3 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Motorlet Praha, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Povltavska FA Motorlet Praha

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Motorlet Praha has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Povltavska FA Motorlet Praha

The combined recent performance profile favours Motorlet Praha.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Povltavska FA ↑ +0.24 (+5.8%)

Motorlet Praha ↑ +0.05 (+3.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.