Povltavska FA vs Sparta Prague B

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Povltavska FA

Sparta Prague B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.4% DRAW 16.5% AWAY 68.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.7% 5.74 DRAW 18.0% 5.34 AWAY 65.3% 1.47

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sparta Prague B relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 68.1% win probability, compared with 65.3% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sparta Prague B has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Povltavska FA Sparta Prague B

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 14.5 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Sparta Prague B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Povltavska FA Sparta Prague B

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Sparta Prague B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Povltavska FA Sparta Prague B

The combined recent performance profile favours Sparta Prague B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Povltavska FA ↓ -2.11 (-26.9%)

Sparta Prague B ↑ +0.05 (+3.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.