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Czechia 3. Liga · CZ

Motorlet Praha vs Slavia Prague U20

24 Oct 2026 · 10:15
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for a home win for Motorlet Praha. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume, although a greater share of attempts has reached the target in the more recent matches.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.72 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.87. At this price, a home win for Motorlet Praha does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Motorlet Praha
STOCHASTICBET 53.6%
PINNACLE 52.6% odd 1.72
DIFFERENCE +1.0 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 23.2%
PINNACLE 23.4% odd 3.87
DIFFERENCE -0.2 pp
AWAY
Slavia Prague U20
STOCHASTICBET 23.3%
PINNACLE 24.0% odd 3.76
DIFFERENCE -0.8 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 24 Oct 2026 · 01:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Slavia Prague U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
Motorlet Praha Slavia Prague U20
Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Slavia Prague U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Motorlet Praha Slavia Prague U20
Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Motorlet Praha has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Motorlet Praha Slavia Prague U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-24 05:33:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.00 pp -3.64 pp
DRAW +0.00 pp +0.91 pp
AWAY +0.00 pp +2.72 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — -3.64 pp
DRAW — +0.91 pp
AWAY — +2.72 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Czechia 3. Liga · 498 matches with scores · 446 with shots · coverage 89.6%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Motorlet Praha6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DLWWDL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Slavia Prague U206 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LLWWLW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Motorlet PrahaHome team
−0.79.5 actual
Slavia Prague U20Away team
−0.69.7 actual
Motorlet Praha: 9.5 · league average 10.2 · 6 valid matchesSlavia Prague U20: 9.7 · league average 10.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Motorlet PrahaHome team
+0.110.3 actual
Slavia Prague U20Away team
+1.111.3 actual
Motorlet Praha: 10.3 · league average 10.2 · 6 valid matchesSlavia Prague U20: 11.3 · league average 10.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Motorlet PrahaHome team
−0.74.0 actual
Slavia Prague U20Away team
+0.85.5 actual
Motorlet Praha: 4.0 · league average 4.7 · 6 valid matchesSlavia Prague U20: 5.5 · league average 4.7 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Motorlet PrahaHome team
+0.55.2 actual
Slavia Prague U20Away team
+0.04.7 actual
Motorlet Praha: 5.2 · league average 4.7 · 6 valid matchesSlavia Prague U20: 4.7 · league average 4.7 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Motorlet PrahaHome team
0.001.67 actual
Slavia Prague U20Away team
+0.502.17 actual
Motorlet Praha: 1.67 · league average 1.67 · 6 valid matchesSlavia Prague U20: 2.17 · league average 1.67 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Motorlet PrahaHome team
+1.3 pp17.5% actual
Slavia Prague U20Away team
+6.2 pp22.4% actual
Motorlet Praha: 17.5% · league average 16.2% · 6 valid matchesSlavia Prague U20: 22.4% · league average 16.2% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Motorlet PrahaHome team
+1.5 pp17.7% actual
Slavia Prague U20Away team
−3.0 pp13.2% actual
Motorlet Praha: 17.7% · league average 16.2% · 6 valid matchesSlavia Prague U20: 13.2% · league average 16.2% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Motorlet Praha · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Home1–11 / 11 / 1
10/10/2026Away1–49 / 144 / 11
03/10/2026Home3–014 / 97 / 1
26/09/2026Away2–014 / 115 / 4
19/09/2026Home1–111 / 54 / 2
12/09/2026Away2–58 / 223 / 12
Slavia Prague U20 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Home3–416 / 149 / 7
10/10/2026Away1–216 / 69 / 5
04/10/2026Home4–012 / 208 / 6
26/09/2026Away2–06 / 172 / 6
19/09/2026Home0–20 / 20 / 2
12/09/2026Away3–18 / 95 / 2

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.