FK Loko Praha vs Sparta Prague B

19 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.8 pp

FK Loko Praha

Sparta Prague B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.1% DRAW 22.1% AWAY 57.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.6% 4.15 DRAW 23.4% 4.00 AWAY 54.1% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sparta Prague B relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.9% win probability, compared with 54.1% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sparta Prague B has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Loko Praha Sparta Prague B

Shots 12.5 · On target 6.8 Shots 20.8 · On target 8.8

Recent attacking output favours Sparta Prague B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Loko Praha Sparta Prague B

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Sparta Prague B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Loko Praha Sparta Prague B

The combined recent performance profile favours Sparta Prague B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FK Loko Praha ↓ -0.25 (-5.6%)

Sparta Prague B ↑ +0.12 (+7.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.