MFK Chrudim vs Pardubice B

26 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

MFK Chrudim

Pardubice B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.6% DRAW 22.1% AWAY 48.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.0% 2.96 DRAW 23.2% 3.95 AWAY 45.8% 2.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Pardubice B has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

MFK Chrudim Pardubice B

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 12.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Pardubice B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MFK Chrudim Pardubice B

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MFK Chrudim Pardubice B

The combined recent performance profile favours Pardubice B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

MFK Chrudim ↑ +0.26 (+9.7%)

Pardubice B ↓ -0.15 (-7.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.