FK Jablonec B vs Mladá Boleslav B

13 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

FK Jablonec B

Mladá Boleslav B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.0% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 36.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% 2.18 DRAW 24.5% 3.75 AWAY 33.3% 2.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Mladá Boleslav B relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.1% win probability, compared with 33.3% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Mladá Boleslav B has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Jablonec B Mladá Boleslav B

Shots 8.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours Mladá Boleslav B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Jablonec B Mladá Boleslav B

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Jablonec B Mladá Boleslav B

The combined recent performance profile favours Mladá Boleslav B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Jablonec B ↑ +0.08 (+3.8%)

Mladá Boleslav B ↑ +0.06 (+2.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.