Mladá Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf

26 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Mladá Boleslav B

Varnsdorf

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.2% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 26.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.8% 1.93 DRAW 23.7% 3.90 AWAY 28.5% 3.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Mladá Boleslav B relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.2% win probability, compared with 47.8% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Mladá Boleslav B has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mladá Boleslav B Varnsdorf

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mladá Boleslav B Varnsdorf

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.3

Mladá Boleslav B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mladá Boleslav B Varnsdorf

The combined recent performance profile favours Mladá Boleslav B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mladá Boleslav B ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

Varnsdorf ↑ +0.24 (+8.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.