Varnsdorf vs Velke Hamry

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Varnsdorf

Velke Hamry

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.5% DRAW 13.4% AWAY 9.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.5% 1.29 DRAW 14.8% 6.57 AWAY 9.7% 10.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Varnsdorf has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Varnsdorf Velke Hamry

Shots 13.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Varnsdorf Velke Hamry

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Varnsdorf has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Varnsdorf Velke Hamry

The combined recent performance profile favours Varnsdorf.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Varnsdorf ↓ -0.07 (-5.4%)

Velke Hamry ↑ +2.63 (+35.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.