Stjarnan (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

07 Sep 2026 · 21:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Stjarnan (W)

Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.7% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 28.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.7% 2.08 DRAW 24.4% 4.06 AWAY 27.9% 3.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Stjarnan (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Stjarnan (W) Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Stjarnan (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Stjarnan (W) Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Vikingur Reykjavik (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Stjarnan (W) Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Stjarnan (W) ↑ +0.06 (+3.0%)

Vikingur Reykjavik (W) ↑ +0.58 (+19.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.