MFK Chrudim vs Zenit Caslav

12 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

MFK Chrudim

Zenit Caslav

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.2% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 14.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.8% 1.48 DRAW 22.2% 4.18 AWAY 15.0% 6.19

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

MFK Chrudim has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

MFK Chrudim Zenit Caslav

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 7.3 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours MFK Chrudim, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MFK Chrudim Zenit Caslav

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MFK Chrudim Zenit Caslav

The combined recent performance profile favours MFK Chrudim.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

MFK Chrudim ↓ -0.09 (-5.8%)

Zenit Caslav ↑ +1.53 (+32.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.