Zenit Caslav vs Benatky Nad Jizerou

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

Zenit Caslav

Benatky Nad Jizerou

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.9% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 52.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.0% 3.67 DRAW 24.8% 3.84 AWAY 49.3% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Benatky Nad Jizerou relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.3% win probability, compared with 49.3% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Benatky Nad Jizerou has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zenit Caslav Benatky Nad Jizerou

Shots 8.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Benatky Nad Jizerou, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zenit Caslav Benatky Nad Jizerou

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Benatky Nad Jizerou has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zenit Caslav Benatky Nad Jizerou

The combined recent performance profile favours Benatky Nad Jizerou.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Zenit Caslav ↑ +1.34 (+57.3%)

Benatky Nad Jizerou ↓ -0.53 (-21.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.