Portugalete vs Compostela

13 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Portugalete

Compostela

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.8% DRAW 30.0% AWAY 26.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.5% 2.00 DRAW 29.4% 3.17 AWAY 24.1% 3.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Compostela

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Portugalete Compostela

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 19.3 · On target 9.5

Recent attacking output favours Compostela, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Portugalete Compostela

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Portugalete has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Portugalete Compostela

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Portugalete ↑ +0.09 (+4.8%)

Compostela ↑ +0.11 (+2.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.