Sestao River vs Real Oviedo B

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Sestao River

Real Oviedo B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 25.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.1% 1.98 DRAW 29.2% 3.20 AWAY 23.7% 3.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Real Oviedo B

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sestao River Real Oviedo B

Shots 11.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Real Oviedo B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sestao River Real Oviedo B

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Real Oviedo B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sestao River Real Oviedo B

The combined recent performance profile favours Real Oviedo B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Sestao River ↓ -0.32 (-13.9%)

Real Oviedo B ↑ +1.13 (+40.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.