Rayo Cantabria vs Amorebieta

20 Sep 2026 · 16:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Rayo Cantabria

Amorebieta

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.7% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 31.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% 2.43 DRAW 27.9% 3.40 AWAY 33.0% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Rayo Cantabria

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rayo Cantabria Amorebieta

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Rayo Cantabria, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rayo Cantabria Amorebieta

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rayo Cantabria Amorebieta

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Rayo Cantabria ↓ -0.02 (-0.8%)

Amorebieta ↑ +0.38 (+15.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.